Data • Sports Analytics • Prediction Markets

Leo Minichillo

Trader at Fanatics Betting & Gaming. Turning data into edge.

$0k Sports Betting P&L

$7.5k Polymarket P&L

Trader I Fanatics B&G

View Results Polymarket ↗

About

I'm Leo — a data-driven sports trader who loves chasing edges and finding exploits.

University of Washington

Studied Economics and Data Science. Built the analytical foundation that would later become my edge in sports markets.

Alaska Salmon Plant

Spent my college summers working at a salmon processing plant in Alaska. Long hours, hard work, and the kind of grit you can't learn in a classroom.

Door to Door Sales

The summer after college, I went door to door. Learned resilience, persuasion, and how to handle rejection — skills that translate to everything.

Discovered Sports Betting

Found my calling at the intersection of data, sports, and markets. Started applying quantitative methods to find edges in betting markets.

Fanatics Betting & Gaming

Now working as a Trader, bringing it all together — data science, market intuition, and relentless work ethic.

What I'm Into

Sports Analytics Sports Betting Prediction Markets Data Science Quantitative Trading Market Making Expected Value SQL

Career

Current Role

Trader I — General Sports

Fanatics Betting & Gaming

Market operations supporting the pricing, integrity, and availability of sportsbook markets across professional and collegiate sports. Monitoring live and pre-match markets, reviewing line movements, conducting customer bet reviews, and building SQL-based reporting workflows to track performance and surface pricing anomalies.

B.A. Economics & Data Science

University of Washington

Combined economics theory with practical data science skills. Focused on statistical modeling and quantitative analysis.

Results

Total Sports Betting P&L (as of Feb 2026) ~$31,500

Bet365

+$11,910.60

FanDuel

+$7,023.14

BetOpenly

+$5,834

BetUS

+$5,067

Bet Rivers

+$2,106.39

ProphetX

+$1,355

MyBookie

+$1,333

DraftKings

+$1,018.56

Thrillz

+$1,000

Caesers

+$293.32

Hard Rock

+$250

ESPN BET

-$274.12

Underdog

-$2,622

BetMGM

-$2,745.72

Polymarket

View Profile ↗

+$7,500 Prediction Market P&L

Projects

In Development

Polymarket Sports Bot

Building an automated trading bot targeting +EV opportunities on Polymarket sports markets. The system integrates sportsbook odds APIs to identify mispriced prediction market contracts, executing both market-making and market-taking strategies.

Python Odds APIs Polymarket API Market Making +EV Targeting

⊕

+EV Detection

Cross-references sportsbook lines with Polymarket prices to find positive expected value opportunities.

↔

Market Making

Provides liquidity by placing bids and asks around fair value derived from sharp sportsbook odds.

⌖

Market Taking

Aggressively takes mispriced contracts when edge exceeds threshold based on real-time odds movement.

On Hold

The Betting Playbook

YouTube channel covering sports betting strategy, data-driven analysis, and prediction market insights. Currently on hold — can't create sports betting content while working at Fanatics.

YouTube Sports Betting Content Creation Analytics Breakdowns

Watch on YouTube ↗

Beat the Spread

Each matchup simulates an NFL game using nfelo power ratings (from nfeloapp.com) blended with offense, defense, and total DVOA (Football Outsiders) to calculate a true fair-value spread. The DVOA matchup factors in how each offense performs against the opponent's specific defense. Home field is worth ~2.6 points.

The posted spread is based on that fair value, but it's intentionally biased up to ±4 points. Your job is to spot when the line is off. When you see a big misprice, bet heavy — when it looks fair, bet small or skip.

Scores are generated from a historical NFL score distribution so they land on realistic key numbers (3s and 7s). After each bet, you'll see the fair value spread — compare it to the posted line to see whether you had the edge.

Game results use realistic NFL variance (~13.5 pt std dev). Green = covered, Red = didn’t. Think like a sharp.

Bankroll $1,000

Record 0-0

Best Run --

-- @ --

Wager